How does one find the expected profit from a probability demand distribution?

To find the expected profit from a probability demand distribution, we start by calculating the profit for a given level of output and then accounting for the probability of that output being sold. In your example, we have:

  • Revenue per TV set: $5
  • Cost per TV set: $2
  • Demand: 200 TV sets
  • Probability of demand: 0.1 (or 10%)

First, let’s find the profit per TV set:

Profit per TV set = Revenue – Cost

So, Profit per TV set = $5 – $2 = $3

If demand is 200 TV sets, then the total profit if all units are sold would be:

Total Profit = Profit per TV set × Number of TV sets

Total Profit = $3 × 200 = $600

However, since the probability of selling 200 TV sets is only 0.1, we need to find the expected profit:

Expected Profit = Total Profit × Probability

Expected Profit = $600 × 0.1 = $60

Thus, the expected profit from producing 200 TV sets, given the provided probabilities and costs, would be $60.

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